As of November 21, 2024, the water situation in Las Vegas, Nevada, remains a pressing concern, with several key developments unfolding over the past 48 hours.

### Precipitation and Drought
Despite the 2024 water year ending on September 30 with near-normal precipitation levels, Nevada is still grappling with drought. Late-season storms in February and March helped alleviate some of the dryness, but the state's overall drought conditions have worsened. Currently, roughly 2.1 million Nevadans live in areas affected by drought, with portions of Lincoln and Nye counties and almost all of Clark County in severe drought[1].

### Colorado River and Lake Mead
The Colorado River, a crucial water source for Las Vegas, continues to be a focal point. Lake Mead, which supplies water to the Las Vegas area, remains only 33% full. Although the federal government recently shifted Nevada from a tier two to a tier one water shortage, this still means a reduction of 21,000 acre-feet of water for Southern Nevada, or about 7% of its standard allocation of 300,000 acre-feet of Colorado River water[1].

### Federal Negotiations
In the past 48 hours, federal water officials have outlined necessary steps for reaching a new agreement on the Colorado River among seven states and multiple tribes. These negotiations are critical as they will shape the future of water management post-2026. However, the process is complex and has been stalled under the Biden-Harris administration's Bureau of Reclamation[3].

### Wildfire Risk and Summer Conditions
The extreme heat of the summer has left its mark, with wildfire danger remaining high. The absence of summer monsoons in Southern Nevada has exacerbated dry conditions, making the region more susceptible to wildfires. This ongoing risk underscores the need for continued vigilance and conservation efforts[1].

### Conservation Efforts
Southern Nevada has been proactive in water conservation, using less than its annual allocation each year. Despite the tier one water shortage designation, which will continue into the 2025 water year, the region's conservation efforts have helped mitigate some of the water shortages[1].

### Outlook for 2025
Looking ahead to 2025, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center indicates that the region has an equal chance of experiencing above, near, or below-normal precipitation. A La Niña watch is in place, which could lead to warmer and drier conditions in Southern Nevada. However, the uncertainty remains high, and one significant storm could significantly alter the precipitation outlook[1].

In summary, Las Vegas and the broader Nevada region are navigating a complex water landscape marked by drought, stringent water management, and ongoing negotiations over the Colorado River. As the state moves into the 2025 water year, residents and officials are bracing for continued challenges and uncertainties.