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Optimized NFL Betting Odds and Line Movements for Top Week 11 Matchups

24 de nov. de 2024 · 3m 39s
Optimized NFL Betting Odds and Line Movements for Top Week 11 Matchups
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**NFL Betting Movements and Odds Changes** 1. **Broncos vs. Raiders**: The spread has moved from -4.5 to -5.5 in favor of the Broncos, indicating a strong public backing for Denver....

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**NFL Betting Movements and Odds Changes**

1. **Broncos vs. Raiders**: The spread has moved from -4.5 to -5.5 in favor of the Broncos, indicating a strong public backing for Denver. The moneyline has also shifted, with the Broncos now at -245 and the Raiders at +200[2][3].

2. **Bills vs. Jets**: There has been a slight movement in the spread, with the Bills now favored by -3.5 points, up from -3. The total has decreased from 44.5 to 43.5[5].

3. **Lions vs. Colts**: The spread has seen a significant shift, moving from -2.5 to -7.5 in favor of the Lions, reflecting a strong public belief in Detroit's chances. The total has increased from 47.5 to 50.5[4].

**Top 3 Games with Highest Betting Volume**
1. **Broncos vs. Raiders**
2. **Bills vs. Jets**
3. **Lions vs. Colts**

**Notable Sharp vs. Public Money Discrepancies**
- **Broncos vs. Raiders**: Despite the public heavily backing the Broncos, sharp money has been placed on the Raiders, suggesting a potential value opportunity on the underdog[3].

**Key Injuries or Developments**
- **Raiders**: The return of Gardner Minshew at QB could impact the team's performance, but the struggling run game remains a concern[3].

**Unusual or Noteworthy Prop Bets**
- **First Quarter Under 7.5 in Broncos vs. Raiders**: This prop has gained attention due to Denver's history of low-scoring first quarters on the road and the Raiders' offensive struggles[3].

**Reverse Line Movements**
- **Raiders vs. Broncos**: Despite the public favoring the Broncos, the line has seen some reverse movement towards the Raiders, indicating sharp activity on the underdog[3].

**Opening vs. Current Lines for Marquee Matchups**
- **Broncos vs. Raiders**: Opened at -4.5, now at -5.5.
- **Bills vs. Jets**: Opened at -3, now at -3.5.
- **Lions vs. Colts**: Opened at -2.5, now at -7.5[2][4][5].

**Current Consensus Across Major Sportsbooks**
- **Broncos vs. Raiders**: -5.5 across most books.
- **Bills vs. Jets**: -3.5 across most books.
- **Lions vs. Colts**: -7.5 across most books[2][4][5].

**Significant Changes in Futures Markets**
- No significant changes reported in the past 24 hours.

**Steam Moves or Synchronized Line Movements**
- **Lions vs. Colts**: The spread has moved uniformly across major sportsbooks, indicating a steam move towards the Lions[4].

**Historical Patterns and Trends**
- **Broncos vs. Raiders**: Denver has a strong ATS record this season, but the Raiders have historically performed well as home underdogs in divisional matchups[3].
- **Bills vs. Jets**: The Bills have a dominant recent history against the Jets, but the Jets have shown resilience at home[5].
- **Lions vs. Colts**: The Lions have been strong ATS this season, but the Colts have historically been competitive in games with large spreads[4].

**Potential Value Opportunities**
- **Raiders vs. Broncos**: The underdog Raiders offer a potential value opportunity due to sharp money backing them despite public favor for the Broncos[3].
- **Under 41.5 in Broncos vs. Raiders**: Given the Raiders' offensive struggles and the Broncos' defensive strength, the under could provide value[3].
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Autor QP-5
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